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So Much For the 50 State Strategy

By Big Tent Democrat

I actually think this post has a lot of insightful analysis but I do chuckle that its central point is that a 50 State Presidential strategy this year is a pipe dream:

Even West Virginia, once one of the most Democratic states in the country—it voted for Dukakis and was one of the six states won by Jimmy Carter in 1980—is now moving in to Republican territory for Presidential years. It's not as Republican as Kentucky, but like Kentucky it's unlikely to go Democratic regardless of the Democratic nominee, even if it were Clinton.

More . .

I think Kentucky and West Virginia are not going to go Dem in the Fall no matter what. But I also think that is true for AL, AK, GA, ID, MS, MT, NE, NC (I expect an Obama win there), ND, SC, SD, UT and WY. Those are 13 states that Obama has won or will win and when it was the Clinton camp saying we were not going to win there it was a mortal sin and an affront to the vaunted 50 State Strategy. I am glad some are willing to discuss these issues rationally now. Maybe now "electability" discussions can center rationally on the respective electoral strengths and weaknesses of Clinton and Obama as opposed to the faux outrage those discussions previously engendered.

p>By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only

Full post as published by TalkLeft on April 26, 2008 (boomark / email).