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Legal Commentary

: Agoraphilia

Insider Trading and Private Prediction Markets

By Tom W. Bell and Glen Whitman

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People who run in-house, corporate prediction markets have told me that U.S. laws against illegal insider trading give them nightmares. The problem arises because a private prediction market typically generates material nonpublic information about the corporation that hosts it. If somebody misuses that information to time the purchase or sale of the corporation's stock, liability for illegal insider trading could follow.I plan to say a great deal more about this problem, and some proposed cure read more

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Full post as published by Agoraphilia on May 07, 2008 (boomark / email).

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