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Chinese Banking Stress Test Assumptions Imply Chinese Real Estate May Be Overvalued By As Much As 60%

By Implode-Explode Heavy Industries

"Now this is what a real stress test should look like. Bloomberg quotes a banking insider that "China?s banking regulator told lenders last month to conduct a new round of stress tests to gauge the impact of residential property prices falling as much as 60 percent in the hardest-hit markets." And just in case it is unclear what the reality of the situation is, because as Europe demonstrated all too well, nobody would test for something which is not already priced in, China is effectively telegraphing to the world that it is bracing itself for a more than 50% plunge in select real estate values. "

Full post as published by Mortgage Lender Implode-o-Meter on August 04, 2010 (boomark / email).