Legal Commentary

Ohio: Now A Contest Too

By Big Tent Democrat

By Big Tent Democrat

Two Weeks to Must-Win Ohio, Clinton 9 Points Atop Obama: In a Democratic Primary for President of the United States in Ohio today, 2/16/08, two weeks till the votes are counted, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama, 52% to 43%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHIO-TV Dayton. But her lead has narrowed. Just one week ago, Clinton held a 17 point lead at 56% to 39%.

This is more good news for the Democratic Party. Like Texas, this means the nomination can be won by Obama by winning a big contested state, leaving no doubt who "the people" have chosen. If Obama can win neither, he can still win Pennsylvania in April and claim "the people's" mantle. If he wins none, well, we have to decide this somehow. My preference remains for the popular vote winner. Internals of the poll on the flip.

In our latest poll, Clinton leads by 35 points among seniors, by 30 points in greater Columbus, by 28 points among women, by 21 points among whites, by 21 points among voters focused on the Economy, and by 17 points among registered Democrats. Obama leads by by 48 points among blacks, by 20 points among the youngest voters, and by 16 points among men. . . .

Obama wins African Americans, men and Republicans and Independents. The key, as always is turnout. We'll see what happens.

Full post as published by TalkLeft on February 19, 2008 (boomark / email).