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Legal Commentary

: Prawfs

Predicting Fraud

By Dan Markel, Ethan Leib, Rick Garnett, Matt Bodie, Paul Horwitz , Steve Vladeck, and Orly Lobel

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Here's an interesting tidbit from this weekend's New York Times magazine profile of Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, a political scientist who uses game theory to predict political and corporate outcomes.  The Times reports that Bueno de Mesquita offered to use his predictive software for Arthur Andersen 

"to predict which of Arthur Andersen's clients - including, at the time, Enron - were likely to engage in financial fraud.  But the firm's lawyers, Bueno de Mesquita says, didn't want to use the tool for fear it would put them in awkward legal positions."  

No kidding.  The Times then quotes a former Arthur Andersen partner: "'Had I been able to convince the firm' to use the model... I think that Andersen would be alive today."

Full post as published by Prawfs on August 15, 2009 (boomark / email).

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